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Pronóstico: Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 6.5 100% Cecilia Zandalasini: Rebounds O/U 1.5 100% 1H Spread -0.5 100% 1Q Spread -0.5 100% Volume: $718K Liquidity: $190K Closes: 8 Oct 2026
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Pronóstico: Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 6.5100%
Cecilia Zandalasini: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q O/U 39.591%
Spread -1.580%
O/U 156.562%
3Q Spread -0.561%
2H Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 24.550%
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 18.550%
Jackie Young: Points O/U 18.550%
Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.550%
Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 7.550%
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 10.550%
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 4.550%
Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Jackie Young: Assists O/U 5.550%
Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.550%
Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.550%
Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 3.550%
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 39.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q O/U 39.550%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.550%
Kiah Stokes: Assists O/U 1.550%
Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 4.550%
Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.550%
Cecilia Zandalasini: Points O/U 6.550%
O/U 157.549%
2H O/U 78.545%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries19%
1Q O/U 39.510%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
1H O/U 78.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: las vegas aces vs. golden state valkyries. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for October 7 at 9:30PM ET: If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces". If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 6.5 at 100% for "Pronóstico: Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries".

Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 6.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $718K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

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