Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: mubadala citi dc open: ashlyn krueger vs katie boulter. This market refers to the tennis match between Ashlyn Krueger and Katie Boulter in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ashlyn…
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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