Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Match O/U 21.5 | 75% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Match O/U 22.5 | 75% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Match O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova | 61% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set 2 Winner | 32% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: mubadala citi dc open: cristina bucsa vs polina kudermetova stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Cristina Bucsa and Polina Kudermetova in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This marke…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Pronóstico: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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